jueves, 19 de enero de 2012

InsiderAdvantage: Gingrich se pone en cabeza en SC



Savannah Morning News:
The seesaw Republican primary has tipped again in a poll conducted Wednesday night, giving Newt Gingrich the lead in the South Carolina primary.

Gingrich reversed the momentum of Mitt Romney who had an expanding lead in the same poll Sunday night.

Gingrich’s 32 percent to Romney’s 29 puts the two inside the poll’s 3.8 percent margin of error, but the 11-point lead Romney held in the Sunday evening survey has evaporated. And Romney’s strength had been building after wins in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary.

The polls were conducted by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research. Wednesday’s was conducted for the Augusta Chronicle and the Savannah Morning News of 718 registered voters who said they were voting in Saturday’s GOP primary.

Ron Paul is in third place with 15 percent, followed by Rick Santorum’s 11 and Rick Perry’s 3. Seven percent remain undecided and are unlikely to vote while 3 percent favor some other candidate not listed as a choice.

Gingrich, who represented neighboring Georgia in Congress for two decades and rose to become House speaker, took support from Santorum and Perry to pass Romney, according to pollster Matt Towery, InsiderAdvantage CEO. Gingrich captured the lead, Towery said, through his performance in Monday night’s televised debate that included a standing ovation from the live audience in response to his defense of conservatism.

“To come back this much, this quickly, is the debates,” Towery said.

2 comentarios:

Anónimo dijo...

La ciencia demoscópica es muy complicada en una primaria. Hay muchas más dudas entre los electores ya que muchos candidatos defienden posturas parecidas. Por eso la fiabilidad baja bastante. No sé hasta que punto se ha desviado esta encuesta o responde a un impulso real. En todo caso, no creo que haya influido la información de ABC respecto de las cuentas bancarias de Romney. Sí es cierto que Carolina del Sur sí es un estado menos propicio a "impuros" republicanos del norte como el ex gobernador, pero con la actual división del voto más conservador lo más probable es que gane Romney.

Antxon G. dijo...

Las cuentas bancarias no tienen nada que ver. Es por el debate del lunes. Gingrich, como sureño que es, supo tocar lo que hay que tocar a los votantes sureños para que se apasionen.

No sé si estará en cabeza o no, pero lo que refleja la encuesta es que está subiendo. La tendencia de los últimos días que va en su dirección.